The latest polling out of the state of Texas has some horrific news for Ted Cruz. The poll shows that Cruz is in a dead heat with his Democratic opponent Colin Allred, with both men recording 41% of the vote right now. While these numbers are bad for Cruz, they do leave a LOT of room for undecided voters to give one candidate an edge to win in a landslide, and there's a good chance many of these voters break for Cruz by election day. Ring of Fire's Farron Cousins explains what's happening.
Link - https://www.newsweek.com/ted-cruz-texas-senate-polll-allred-1875137
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*This transcript was generated by a third-party transcription software company, so please excuse any typos.
Ted Cruz got some shockingly devastating news this week with the release of a new poll from the University of Texas at Tyler. According to this new survey, 41% of respondents said they are backing Ted Cruz in this year's Senate election from the state of Texas. But another 41% an equal number said they were going with Democrat Colin Allred, who is a state representative at this point. Allred is very popular in the state of Texas, and this new poll shows that him and incumbent Ted Cruz are literally tied neck and neck at 41%. But there is a glimmer of hope for Ted Cruz and of course a glimmer of hope for all red because 41 plus 41, as I'm sure everybody realizes, does not add up to 100. No, it leaves you 18% short of a hundred. So there are still 18% of voters in the state of Texas who basically say, I don't know who the hell I'm gonna vote for.
So technically, either candidate could still win in a landslide if the election were held today because those 18%, they're gonna vote for somebody. They just haven't made up their minds yet. But at the moment, undecided voters do tend to benefit, not the incumbent but the challenger, because the challenger is the one that according to this same survey, a lot of voters say, listen, I don't know enough about the guy I, I don't know who Colin Alred is. Once I know a little more, I'll make my decision. Now, if they were already gonna break for Ted Cruz, they would say, well, listen, we know who Ted Cruz is. Guy's been here for, you know, 16 years at this point. We know who Ted Cruz is. It's not 16. I don't know the exact number, sorry. But they don't know enough about Allred to say, yes, he is better than Ted Cruz.
But they know enough about Ted Cruz to say, eh, let me see what else is out there that doesn't benefit Ted Cruz. So it's not the fact that he's neck and neck with his Democratic challenger. It's the fact that you've got almost 20% of the voters saying, well, let me get to know this other guy before I make my decision. So is Ted Cruz gonna change who he is as an unlikeable human being, in the next few months before the election? Probably not. He is probably still going to be Ted Cruz, who at the moment in the state of Texas has an approval rating, uh, uh, approve versus disapprove negative nine points. So Ted Cruz's approval rating in the state is nine points underwater. Meanwhile, Mr. Allred, his approval rating is positive
12 points. So there's 12% more people who say they like him versus they don't like him. So Ted Cruz has a likability problem. His democratic component does not have a likability problem. They are neck and neck and you've got 18% of people who are saying, I don't know who I'm gonna vote for. I need to know more about all red. That benefits all red. Now, I don't wanna get anybody's hopes up. I think the democratic fever dream of turning Texas blue anytime in the next 10 years, I, I think it's not even close to happening. Okay? We saw it in the 2022 midterms in Texas, like, oh boy, we can do so. Oh God, we got slaughtered. Yeah, so don't get your hopes up. Okay. Texas is Texas. Texas has not, cha, Texas has gotten worse since 2022. So at the moment we got a small little victory. It's interesting, but it definitely doesn't mean that Ted Cruz is on his way out.